Gold Surpasses $1,000 on Fears of Inflation

Fears fomented by long-term inflationary concerns over President Obama’s huge stimulus package drove investors to gold as a hedge against likely devaluation of the U.S. dollar.

Historically, the price of gold has been intimately wed to the value of the U.S. dollar. This was not difficult to predict. As the dollar loses value, gold gains it. It’s a time-honored maxim, set into motion when about a century ago, on March 14, 1900, the U.S. government passed the Gold Standard Act.

The Gold Standard Act Stated:

“…the dollar consisting of twenty-five and eight-tenths grains (1.67 g) of gold nine-tenths fine, as established by section thirty-five hundred and eleven of the Revised Statutes of the United States, shall be the standard unit of value, and all forms of money issued or coined by the United States shall be maintained at a parity of value with this standard…”

Back then, the price of gold was set at only $20.67 per ounce (48.38 times less than $1,000)!

This week’s stock market free fall has not helped matters either, with the Dow Jones shedding another $152 of muscle today, bringing the value, as I write this, to $7,313.74.

“There really is no other place to go,” says Leonard Kaplan, president of Prospector Asset Management. “People are scared.”

When falling house prices, stock market crashes, unemployment rates, recession, high deficits, fear of inflation, and the fact that the near future is unknown, tangible assets (not abstract investments) flourish.

Gold should continue to be a safe, hedge investment for the forseeable future. But if the recently passed stimulus package and the upcoming bail out impregnates our economy with Obama’s campaign-trail promise of “new hope”, be prepared to re-evaluate your gold holdings: life and the economy with it, can again experience a vast paradigm shift.

Gold: Time to Buy, Sell, or Hold?

The price of gold is doing the rollercoaster thing again. Up sharply in the last week, then dropping precipitously in the last several days, and why? Experts tag this to the fact that it did go sharply up and then come screaming downward as everyone rushed to sell their gold at the record high prices.

Consumers are in a state of shock mixed with agony over what is going on in our economy. Daily reports of layoffs, bankruptcies, going out of business sales, and other “end of all” financial dealings are almost too much to take.

Buying and selling gold in shaky economic times are nothing new. Gold has long been called a “barometer of fear.” When people are anxious about the economy – they turn to gold and bid the price up. The two main things that make people anxious are deflation and inflation. Most think that deflation is “falling prices” and inflation is “rising prices.” Actually, rising and falling prices are symptoms. The root causes are decreases (deflating) or increasing (inflating) of the money supply.  Gold has the remarkable ability to store value in both deflationary and inflationary times.

But what about you and your situation? What about your economic worries and woes? If you are concerned about the value of the dollar, is this a good time to sell? Not really… because holding gold may allow you to hang on to the value of your investment.

Economics are cyclical in nature. Almost every country around the world has had at least one major “currency crisis” over the last one hundred years. Those that had some of their wealth in gold survived.

It’s best to think of your personal investments in gold as insurance. Do not think of gold as a way to “make money.” Do not try and “time the market.” It is better to buy gold in small amounts regularly, every month for example, over a period of time. The percentage of your total wealth devoted to gold is a personal decision and depends on your particular situation. A conservative goal would be ten percent. In times of uncertainty the “best practices” percentage could be much higher.

Gold can protect against both deflation and inflation. It would be best if we all kept some of our wealth in gold where possible. The time to sell is when the market is ripe and the value is needed. The time to hold is when the market is rocketing up and downward, like now. Let others panic, while you hang on to any gold you may have, along with its value.